Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.033 to 5.56.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.56 (+0.033)
- In: 5.52
- Rank by index
- 110
- In: 111
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 70
- In: 63
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.44 | 3.71 | +0.261 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.66 | 4.62 | −0.034 | 10 |
| National Security | 2.58 | 2.60 | +0.018 | 12 |
| Human Capital | 6.67 | 6.66 | −0.011 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.24 | 7.23 | −0.011 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.19 | 7.19 | −0.006 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.52 | 5.54 | +0.023 | 26 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.62 | 5.60 | −0.017 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.79 | 6.87 | +0.080 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 115, plus 63 carried in. Maintenance 77. Spent 30 on actions (build 6, buy 24). 70 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.28 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.68 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.71 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.68 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.56 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.33 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.32 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |