Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.293 to 5.52.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.52 (−0.293)
- In: 5.82
- Rank by index
- 111
- In: 102
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 66
- In: 59
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.83 | 3.44 | −0.384 | 7 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.85 | 4.66 | −0.196 | 10 |
| National Security | 2.70 | 2.58 | −0.121 | 11 → 12 |
| Human Capital | 6.97 | 6.67 | −0.299 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.67 | 7.24 | −0.427 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.42 | 7.19 | −0.230 | 16 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.88 | 5.52 | −0.355 | 24 → 26 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.05 | 5.62 | −0.438 | 14 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.98 | 6.79 | −0.191 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 120, plus 59 carried in. Maintenance 83. Spent 30 on actions (buy 12, partner 18). 66 carried over.
- BuySpace Operations6 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics6 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −23.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 8; National Security Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 26; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.70 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.68 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | −0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.52 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | −0.03 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | −0.06 |