Round 1 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.040 to 7.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.22 (+0.041)
In: 7.18
Rank by index
79
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.903.08+0.18412
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital7.687.70+0.02712
Information & Influence8.218.36+0.1519
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.577.570.00014
Trade & Investment8.308.300.00012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143. Maintenance 110. Spent 32 on actions (build 10, buy 22). 2 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.91+0.910.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.78+0.780.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.18+0.180.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.07+0.070.000.000.00