Round 2 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.030 to 7.25.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index: 7.25 (+0.030); In: 7.22
Rank by index: 78; In: 79
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 2; In: 2

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	3.08	3.08	0.000	12
Strategic Infrastructure	7.88	7.88	0.000	7
National Security	4.60	4.60	0.000	9
Human Capital	7.70	7.79	+0.083	12
Information & Influence	8.36	8.42	+0.059	9
Governance & Integrity	8.89	8.89	0.000	14
Financial Strength	8.57	8.57	0.000	17
Production & Innovation	7.57	7.70	+0.130	14
Trade & Investment	8.30	8.30	0.000	12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 32 on actions (build 22, buy 10). 2 carried over.

BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested
Technology Adoption & Diffusion	+0.91	+0.91
Technical & Vocational Skills	+0.35	+0.35
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance	+0.35	+0.35
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling	+0.24	+0.24
Digital & AI Competence	+0.15	+0.15