Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 7.32.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.32 (+0.039)
- In: 7.28
- Rank by index
- 76
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 2
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.19 | 3.20 | +0.005 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | 0.000 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.002 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.93 | 8.12 | +0.195 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.48 | 8.54 | +0.062 | 8 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 8.57 | 0.000 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.70 | 7.78 | +0.083 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.31 | 8.31 | +0.004 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 143, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 32 on actions (build 22, buy 10). 2 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.55 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by -1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.61 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.58 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |