Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.057 to 7.38.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.38 (+0.057)
- In: 7.32
- Rank by index
- 76
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.20 | 3.30 | +0.100 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | 0.000 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.003 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.12 | 8.34 | +0.213 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.54 | 8.59 | +0.040 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 8.60 | +0.031 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.78 | 7.91 | +0.128 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.31 | 8.32 | +0.003 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 146, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 32 on actions (build 14, buy 14, partner 3). 4 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.30 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by -1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation3 credits for 0.40 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.99 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.86 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.85 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.61 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.20 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |