Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.055 to 7.76.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.76 (+0.055)
- In: 7.71
- Rank by index
- 70
- In: 72
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.05 | 4.18 | +0.133 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.91 | 7.92 | +0.010 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.64 | 4.65 | +0.011 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.85 | 8.85 | +0.002 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.29 | 9.30 | +0.011 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.90 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.71 | 8.73 | +0.022 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.16 | 8.19 | +0.037 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.88 | 9.15 | +0.268 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 155, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 122. Spent 34 on actions (build 8, buy 11, partner 15). 1 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.44 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by -1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation3 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.93 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.74 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.40 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.38 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 |