Round 10 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.061 to 7.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.71 (+0.061)
In: 7.65
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.904.05+0.1498
Strategic Infrastructure7.907.91+0.0107
National Security4.634.64+0.0119
Human Capital8.838.85+0.0198
Information & Influence9.139.29+0.1567
Governance & Integrity8.898.89+0.00114
Financial Strength8.698.71+0.02317
Production & Innovation8.148.16+0.01114
Trade & Investment8.718.88+0.16512 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 154, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 121. Spent 34 on actions (buy 18, partner 15). 2 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.94 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by -1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence3 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.91+0.910.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.87+0.840.000.00+0.03
Artificial Intelligence+0.54+0.370.000.00+0.17
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.16+0.160.000.000.00