Round 13 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.051 to 7.87.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.87 (+0.050)
In: 7.82
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.504.72+0.2187
Strategic Infrastructure7.937.94+0.0127
National Security4.664.67+0.0089
Human Capital8.858.85+0.0038
Information & Influence9.319.32+0.0137
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.748.75+0.00717
Production & Innovation8.238.41+0.17714 → 11
Trade & Investment9.289.30+0.01811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 159. Maintenance 127. Spent 32 on actions (build 8, buy 24). 1 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.44 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.86+0.840.000.00+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+0.30+0.290.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.140.000.000.00+0.14
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.080.000.000.00+0.08