Round 14 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.92.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.92 (+0.046)
In: 7.87
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.724.94+0.2247
Strategic Infrastructure7.947.96+0.0167
National Security4.674.68+0.0189
Human Capital8.858.86+0.0038
Information & Influence9.329.41+0.0907 → 6
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.758.76+0.00917
Production & Innovation8.418.44+0.03511
Trade & Investment9.309.31+0.01711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 161, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 128. Spent 33 on actions (buy 16, partner 18). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence8 credits for 0.27 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies2 credits for 0.14 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.91+0.900.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.88+0.880.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.18+0.180.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.160.000.000.00+0.16
Economic Output & Productivity+0.15+0.150.000.000.00