Round 16 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.044 to 8.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.01 (+0.044)
In: 7.96
Rank by index
69
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.175.44+0.2767
Strategic Infrastructure7.977.98+0.0117
National Security4.704.72+0.0239 → 6
Human Capital8.868.86+0.0028
Information & Influence9.509.51+0.0116
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.768.77+0.00617
Production & Innovation8.488.49+0.01111
Trade & Investment9.329.38+0.05411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 163. Maintenance 132. Spent 31 on actions (buy 16, partner 15). 0 carried over.

  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems8 credits for 0.92 levelsmctsahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence3 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. National Security Tier 9 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.10+1.080.000.00+0.01
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.91+0.910.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.71+0.700.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.19+0.180.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.17+0.170.000.000.00
Nuclear Deterrence+0.09+0.090.000.000.00