Round 7 · simulation 6 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.068 to 6.92.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.92 (+0.068)
In: 6.86
Rank by index
82
In: 83
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.023.19+0.16710
Strategic Infrastructure7.417.41+0.0038
National Security3.773.78+0.00310
Human Capital8.078.14+0.06812 → 11
Information & Influence7.968.04+0.0808
Governance & Integrity8.268.25−0.00816
Financial Strength7.657.65+0.00221
Production & Innovation7.497.56+0.07514
Trade & Investment8.088.30+0.22612 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 134, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 101. Spent 33 on actions (buy 20, partner 13). 3 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.51 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.90+0.880.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.78+0.780.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.44+0.460.000.00−0.01