Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 6.86.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.86 (+0.046)
- In: 6.81
- Rank by index
- 83
- In: 84
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.90 | 3.02 | +0.120 | 11 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.44 | 7.41 | −0.028 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.79 | 3.77 | −0.012 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.96 | 8.07 | +0.113 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.96 | 7.96 | +0.001 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.27 | 8.26 | −0.008 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.65 | 7.65 | +0.002 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.49 | 7.49 | −0.004 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.85 | 8.08 | +0.227 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 133, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 100. Spent 33 on actions (build 7, buy 7, partner 20). 3 carried over.
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.78 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.89 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.85 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.39 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.28 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |