Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.057 to 7.04.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.04 (+0.057)
- In: 6.99
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.35 | 3.52 | +0.177 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.42 | 7.43 | +0.009 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.78 | 3.79 | +0.009 | 10 → 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.21 | 8.25 | +0.043 | 11 → 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.12 | 8.26 | +0.144 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.24 | 8.24 | −0.007 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.71 | 7.78 | +0.076 | 21 → 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.68 | 7.69 | +0.007 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.36 | 8.42 | +0.058 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 139, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 104. Spent 34 on actions (buy 21, partner 14). 4 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.40 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -1 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; National Security Tier 10 to 9; Human Capital Tier 11 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 19.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.02 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.71 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.41 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |