Round 10 · simulation 6 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 7.09.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.09 (+0.050)
In: 7.04
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
5
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.523.70+0.1769 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure7.437.44+0.0118
National Security3.793.80+0.0119
Human Capital8.258.32+0.0688
Information & Influence8.268.35+0.0858 → 7
Governance & Integrity8.248.23−0.00616
Financial Strength7.787.82+0.03519
Production & Innovation7.697.69+0.00614
Trade & Investment8.428.48+0.05811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 142, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 106. Spent 35 on actions (build 7, buy 14, partner 14). 5 carried over.

  • PartnerLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.56 levelsmctsahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.84+0.840.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.37+0.370.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.210.000.000.00+0.21
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.20+0.200.000.000.00