Round 5 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.052 to 7.37.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.37 (+0.053)
In: 7.32
Rank by index
76
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.163.18+0.02210
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.89+0.0047
National Security4.614.61+0.0079
Human Capital8.148.34+0.19712
Information & Influence8.578.66+0.0917
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.628.620.00017
Production & Innovation7.707.83+0.12614
Trade & Investment8.308.32+0.02412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 32 on actions (build 15, buy 7, partner 10). 3 carried over.

  • BuildSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 1.00 levelmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.17+0.170.000.000.00