Round 10 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.054 to 7.67.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index: 7.67 (+0.054); In: 7.62
Rank by index: 72; In: 72
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 1; In: 1

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	3.81	3.99	+0.180	9 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure	7.90	7.91	+0.007	7
National Security	4.65	4.66	+0.010	9
Human Capital	8.75	8.81	+0.065	8
Information & Influence	9.09	9.18	+0.086	7
Governance & Integrity	8.89	8.89	0.000	14
Financial Strength	8.64	8.66	+0.015	17
Production & Innovation	7.99	8.06	+0.071	14
Trade & Investment	8.85	8.91	+0.054	11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 149, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 120. Spent 29 on actions (build 7, buy 22). 1 carried over.

BuildInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts
BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing	+0.87	+0.87	0.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing	+0.73	+0.73	0.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation	+0.57	+0.57	0.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation	+0.47	+0.47	0.00
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.40	+0.40	0.00
Investment Attraction & Projection	+0.27	+0.26	+0.01