Round 11 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.72.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.72 (+0.046)
In: 7.67
Rank by index
71
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.994.17+0.1778
Strategic Infrastructure7.917.92+0.0087
National Security4.664.68+0.0209
Human Capital8.818.81+0.0018
Information & Influence9.189.19+0.0107
Governance & Integrity8.898.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.668.67+0.01417
Production & Innovation8.068.19+0.13114 → 12
Trade & Investment8.918.96+0.05311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 152, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 122. Spent 30 on actions (buy 22, partner 8). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence8 credits for 0.25 levelsmcts
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.89+0.890.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.85+0.820.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.28+0.260.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.150.000.000.00+0.15
Nuclear Deterrence+0.08+0.080.000.000.00