Round 14 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.050 to 7.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.85 (+0.050)
In: 7.80
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.564.72+0.1647
Strategic Infrastructure7.947.95+0.0147
National Security4.714.71+0.0099
Human Capital8.818.82+0.0028
Information & Influence9.299.37+0.0857 → 6
Governance & Integrity8.908.900.00014
Financial Strength8.708.72+0.02517
Production & Innovation8.218.30+0.09112
Trade & Investment9.109.16+0.06211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 154. Maintenance 127. Spent 28 on actions (buy 20, partner 8). 0 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing2 credits for 0.17 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.56+0.550.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.47+0.460.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.39+0.390.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.18+0.130.000.00+0.05