Round 13 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.044 to 7.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.80 (+0.044)
In: 7.76
Rank by index
70
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.384.56+0.1798 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.937.94+0.0127
National Security4.694.71+0.0149
Human Capital8.818.810.0008
Information & Influence9.209.29+0.0867
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.688.70+0.02217
Production & Innovation8.208.21+0.01412
Trade & Investment9.039.10+0.07111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 153, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 29 on actions (build 8, buy 14, partner 8). 0 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.31 levelsmcts
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation3 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.28 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.13+0.990.000.00+0.15
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.47+0.460.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.37+0.370.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.28+0.280.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.11+0.100.000.000.00