Round 16 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.052 to 7.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.94 (+0.052)
In: 7.89
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.885.25+0.3717
Strategic Infrastructure7.977.98+0.0117
National Security4.724.74+0.0119
Human Capital8.848.86+0.0238
Information & Influence9.389.38+0.0086
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.768.77+0.00517
Production & Innovation8.328.32+0.00812
Trade & Investment9.259.28+0.03011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 161, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 130. Spent 32 on actions (buy 32). 1 carried over.

  • BuySpace Technologies8 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.93+0.900.000.00+0.03
Energy Technologies+0.89+0.880.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.19+0.190.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.18+0.180.000.000.00