Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.32.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.32 (+0.046)
- In: 7.27
- Rank by index
- 77
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.14 | 3.24 | +0.103 | 11 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | 0.000 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.92 | 8.12 | +0.194 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.43 | 8.49 | +0.062 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 8.57 | +0.003 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.74 | 7.78 | +0.042 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.31 | +0.002 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 144, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 32 on actions (build 14, buy 10, partner 7). 3 carried over.
- PartnerTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.98 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.72 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.58 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.35 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.29 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |