Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.058 to 7.08.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.08 (+0.057)
- In: 7.03
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.79 | 2.91 | +0.115 | 11 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.69 | 7.69 | 0.000 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.42 | 4.43 | +0.007 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.00 | 8.21 | +0.213 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.27 | 8.35 | +0.086 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.64 | 8.64 | −0.003 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.13 | 8.11 | −0.017 | 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.48 | 7.48 | −0.002 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.80 | 7.92 | +0.120 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 137. Maintenance 105. Spent 32 on actions (build 3, buy 7, partner 22). 0 carried over.
- PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills3 credits for 0.31 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.14 | +1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.50 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.49 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |