Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.264 to 7.13.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.13 (−0.264)
- In: 7.39
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.04 | 3.99 | −0.051 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.66 | 7.47 | −0.188 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.46 | 4.47 | +0.009 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.44 | 8.30 | −0.135 | 9 → 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.83 | 8.63 | −0.198 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.62 | 8.38 | −0.235 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 8.26 | 7.56 | −0.698 | 18 → 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.68 | 7.25 | −0.433 | 14 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.54 | 8.10 | −0.442 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 147. Maintenance 116. Spent 30 on actions (buy 16, partner 15). 0 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.40 levelsmcts
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion1 credits for 0.16 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −20.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Human Capital Tier 9 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 20; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.94 | 0.00 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.81 | 0.00 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.80 | 0.00 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.78 | +0.03 |