Round 15 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.034 to 7.16.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.16 (+0.034)
In: 7.13
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.994.06+0.0727
Strategic Infrastructure7.477.49+0.0158
National Security4.474.48+0.0109
Human Capital8.308.31+0.00710
Information & Influence8.638.63+0.0017
Governance & Integrity8.388.38−0.00516
Financial Strength7.567.57+0.00920
Production & Innovation7.257.27+0.01815
Trade & Investment8.108.27+0.17611

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 136. Maintenance 112. Spent 24 on actions (buy 9, partner 15). 1 carried over.

  • BuyQuantum Technologies7 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity2 credits for 0.11 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Quantum Technologies+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.45+0.440.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.43+0.430.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.37+0.390.000.00−0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.160.000.000.00+0.16
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.15+0.200.000.00−0.05