Round 17 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.031 to 7.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.24 (+0.031)
In: 7.21
Rank by index
78
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.194.41+0.2277
Strategic Infrastructure7.497.48−0.0068
National Security4.494.50+0.0079
Human Capital8.318.31−0.00210
Information & Influence8.638.630.0007
Governance & Integrity8.388.37−0.00316
Financial Strength7.567.57+0.00420
Production & Innovation7.397.39−0.00113
Trade & Investment8.448.49+0.05211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 139, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 26 on actions (build 7, buy 19). 0 carried over.

  • BuildNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.14 levelsmcts
  • BuyEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.25 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems3 credits for 0.33 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.81+0.820.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+0.81+0.800.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.36+0.370.000.00−0.01
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.33+0.330.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.25+0.250.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.050.000.000.00+0.05