Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.21.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.21 (+0.047)
- In: 7.16
- Rank by index
- 79
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.06 | 4.19 | +0.124 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.49 | 7.49 | +0.002 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.31 | 8.31 | −0.001 | 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.63 | 8.63 | 0.000 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.38 | 8.38 | −0.002 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.57 | 7.56 | −0.004 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.27 | 7.39 | +0.122 | 15 → 13 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.27 | 8.44 | +0.170 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 138, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 26 on actions (buy 19, partner 7). 1 carried over.
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation3 credits for 0.33 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity3 credits for 0.21 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.78 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.75 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.46 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.39 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.34 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.31 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |