Round 4 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-index

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.221 to 16.62.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.62 (+0.222)
In: 16.40
Rank by index
3
In: 4
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 4
Credits carried
318
In: 246
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1016.10+0.0072
Strategic Infrastructure16.4816.57+0.0841
National Security14.6414.80+0.1543
Human Capital18.0318.32+0.2851
Information & Influence16.4417.21+0.7731
Governance & Integrity16.0216.11+0.0893
Financial Strength16.2516.49+0.2404 → 1
Production & Innovation16.7016.82+0.1221
Trade & Investment16.9417.18+0.2402 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 933, plus 246 carried in. Maintenance 632. Spent 229 on actions (build 138, buy 46, partner 46). 318 carried over.

  • BuildSpace Operations46 credits for 1.32 levelsmctsahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance46 credits for 2.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity46 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education46 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance46 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 4 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.95+2.860.00+0.06+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.44+1.410.00+0.030.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.36+1.230.00+0.130.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+1.26+1.220.00+0.03+0.01
Foundational Education+0.70+0.660.00+0.030.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.65+0.610.00+0.030.00