Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.193 to 16.43.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.43 (−0.193)
- In: 16.62
- Rank by index
- 4
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 343
- In: 302
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.10 | 15.89 | −0.217 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.57 | 16.08 | −0.488 | 1 → 2 |
| National Security | 14.80 | 14.32 | −0.481 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.32 | 18.46 | +0.144 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.21 | 16.61 | −0.597 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.11 | 15.80 | −0.304 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.49 | 16.60 | +0.114 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.82 | 16.78 | −0.035 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.18 | 17.31 | +0.128 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 944, plus 302 carried in. Maintenance 669. Spent 233 on actions (build 93, buy 47, partner 93). 343 carried over.
- BuySpace Operations47 credits for 1.75 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection47 credits for 2.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity47 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation47 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence47 credits for 2.76 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.12 | +1.38 | 0.00 | −0.27 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.99 | +1.23 | 0.00 | −0.26 | +0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.94 | +1.15 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | 0.00 |