Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.217 to 16.93.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.93 (−0.218)
- In: 17.15
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 329
- In: 348
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.03 | 15.89 | −0.133 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.52 | 16.05 | −0.474 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.10 | 13.49 | −0.609 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.11 | 18.99 | −0.114 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.05 | 17.93 | −0.120 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 17.42 | 17.41 | −0.011 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.58 | 16.34 | −0.245 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.96 | 18.25 | +0.292 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.57 | 18.03 | −0.541 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,009, plus 348 carried in. Maintenance 779. Spent 249 on actions (build 99, buy 50, partner 99). 329 carried over.
- BuyStructural Transformation & Complexity50 credits for 1.98 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship50 credits for 2.30 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence50 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity50 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies50 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −29.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structural Transformation & Complexity | +1.57 | +1.98 | 0.00 | −0.43 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.04 | −0.01 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | +0.96 | +1.37 | 0.00 | −0.43 | +0.02 |
| Resource Infrastructure | −0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.94 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | −0.03 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.93 | −0.01 |