Round 15 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index +0.013 to 16.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.94 (+0.013)
In: 16.93
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
321
In: 313
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8916.05+0.1552
Strategic Infrastructure16.0515.85−0.1912
National Security13.4913.13−0.3513
Human Capital18.9919.01+0.0161
Information & Influence17.9317.58−0.3521
Governance & Integrity17.4117.44+0.0331
Financial Strength16.3416.60+0.2681
Production & Innovation18.2518.35+0.0931
Trade & Investment18.0318.48+0.4411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 981, plus 313 carried in. Maintenance 721. Spent 252 on actions (buy 151, partner 101). 321 carried over.

  • BuyInvestment Attraction & Projection50 credits for 1.27 levelsmctsahead of Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence50 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade50 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence50 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure50 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.74+1.930.00−0.16−0.03
Artificial Intelligence+1.71+1.830.00−0.13+0.02
Financial Regulation & Integrity+1.40+1.370.000.00+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.12+1.270.00−0.150.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.84+0.970.00−0.16+0.02
Space Technologies+0.83+0.940.00−0.13+0.02