Round 3 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-score-sum

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 17 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.138 to 16.28.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.28 (+0.138)
In: 16.14
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
235
In: 158
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.080.0002
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.320.0002
National Security14.4614.55+0.0963
Human Capital17.4217.97+0.5501
Information & Influence15.7816.06+0.2832 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8415.840.0004
Financial Strength16.0716.18+0.1085 → 4
Production & Innovation16.6316.630.0001
Trade & Investment16.6816.88+0.2032

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 888, plus 158 carried in. Maintenance 589. Spent 222 on actions (build 89, partner 133). 235 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence44 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills44 credits for 2.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access44 credits for 2.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance44 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.91+1.910.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.70+1.700.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.42+1.420.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.32+1.320.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.00+1.000.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.65+0.650.000.000.00