Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 17 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index +0.073 to 16.35.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.35 (+0.073)
- In: 16.28
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 285
- In: 224
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 15.96 | −0.126 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.27 | −0.047 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.55 | 14.63 | +0.076 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.97 | 18.23 | +0.259 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.06 | 16.62 | +0.560 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.79 | −0.055 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.18 | 16.18 | −0.008 | 4 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.61 | −0.025 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.88 | 16.90 | +0.023 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 902, plus 224 carried in. Maintenance 619. Spent 222 on actions (build 133, buy 44, partner 44). 285 carried over.
- BuildSpace Operations44 credits for 1.20 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks44 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance44 credits for 2.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity44 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −19.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +2.74 | +2.81 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.04 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.18 | +1.42 | 0.00 | −0.24 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.03 | +1.24 | 0.00 | −0.21 | 0.00 |
| Space Operations | +0.74 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.68 | +1.32 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.63 | +0.66 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |