Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 17 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.088 to 16.27.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.27 (−0.088)
- In: 16.35
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 223
- In: 271
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.96 | 15.71 | −0.249 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.27 | 16.17 | −0.101 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.63 | 14.70 | +0.065 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.23 | 18.29 | +0.058 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.62 | 16.75 | +0.128 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.79 | 15.64 | −0.149 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.18 | 15.90 | −0.270 | 2 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.61 | 16.52 | −0.087 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.90 | 16.72 | −0.182 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 810, plus 271 carried in. Maintenance 632. Spent 226 on actions (build 135, partner 90). 223 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence45 credits for 1.28 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection45 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation45 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks45 credits for 2.35 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity45 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −24.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +2.07 | +2.42 | 0.00 | −0.35 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.97 | +1.24 | 0.00 | −0.28 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.92 | +1.15 | 0.00 | −0.23 | 0.00 |
| Nuclear Deterrence | +0.73 | +0.79 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.55 | +0.66 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.43 | 0.00 |