Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.286 to 16.52.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.52 (+0.287)
- In: 16.23
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 308
- In: 197
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.61 | 15.92 | +0.307 | 3 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.11 | 16.21 | +0.104 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.58 | 14.58 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.36 | 18.57 | +0.214 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.66 | 16.89 | +0.232 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.53 | 15.63 | +0.105 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.88 | 16.02 | +0.137 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.38 | 16.73 | +0.348 | 2 → 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.00 | 18.13 | +1.128 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 933, plus 197 carried in. Maintenance 621. Spent 201 on actions (buy 120, partner 80). 308 carried over.
- BuyExport Capability & Sophistication40 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts
- BuyArtificial Intelligence40 credits for 2.50 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection40 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion40 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position40 credits for 2.00 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +15.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.54 | +2.50 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +2.27 | +2.11 | 0.00 | +0.17 | −0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.93 | +1.83 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.52 | +1.46 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.02 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +1.36 | +1.19 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.30 | +1.24 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.02 |