Round 5 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.014 to 16.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.23 (+0.014)
In: 16.22
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
207
In: 228
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7615.61−0.1473
Strategic Infrastructure16.1816.11−0.0722
National Security14.5814.580.0003
Human Capital18.2818.36+0.0811
Information & Influence16.4516.66+0.2111
Governance & Integrity15.6315.53−0.1055
Financial Strength15.8615.88+0.0245 → 2
Production & Innovation16.5516.38−0.1682
Trade & Investment16.7017.00+0.3021

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 803, plus 228 carried in. Maintenance 624. Spent 200 on actions (partner 200). 207 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance40 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection40 credits for 2.30 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 3 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence40 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks40 credits for 2.11 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 4 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade40 credits for 2.38 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −9.1 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+2.21+2.350.00−0.16+0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.04+1.240.00−0.18−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.96+1.150.00−0.18−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.92+1.240.00−0.30−0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.83+1.190.00−0.360.00
Foundational Education+0.59+0.690.00−0.100.00