Round 4 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 50 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.174 to 16.20.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.20 (+0.174)
In: 16.03
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
318
In: 251
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8615.85−0.0073
Strategic Infrastructure15.8515.85−0.0052
National Security13.8413.84−0.0033
Human Capital18.0418.38+0.3361
Information & Influence15.9516.64+0.6881
Governance & Integrity15.5515.55−0.0025
Financial Strength16.0716.17+0.1035 → 4
Production & Innovation16.4316.50+0.0761
Trade & Investment16.6417.03+0.3842 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 883, plus 251 carried in. Maintenance 595. Spent 221 on actions (build 88, buy 44, partner 88). 318 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance44 credits for 2.87 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance44 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity44 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection44 credits for 2.49 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.86+2.870.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.49+1.500.000.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.27+1.280.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.24+1.240.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.68+1.320.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.65+0.660.000.000.00