Round 5 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 50 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.135 to 16.34.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.34 (+0.135)
In: 16.20
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
373
In: 302
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8515.87+0.0133
Strategic Infrastructure15.8515.84−0.0062
National Security13.8413.83−0.0053
Human Capital18.3818.49+0.1131
Information & Influence16.6416.64+0.0021
Governance & Integrity15.5515.55−0.0025
Financial Strength16.1716.39+0.2164 → 1
Production & Innovation16.5016.67+0.1721
Trade & Investment17.0317.74+0.7101

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 913, plus 302 carried in. Maintenance 622. Spent 221 on actions (build 44, partner 177). 373 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance44 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity44 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence44 credits for 2.69 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 5 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication44 credits for 2.22 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade44 credits for 2.52 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 4 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.34+1.350.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+1.27+1.220.000.00+0.05
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.25+1.240.000.00+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+1.25+1.260.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.15+1.160.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.10+1.110.000.00−0.01