Round 9 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.135 to 16.86.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.86 (−0.135)
In: 17.00
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 5
Credits carried
345
In: 391
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.8316.73−0.0962
Strategic Infrastructure16.2116.10−0.1102
National Security14.2314.02−0.2063
Human Capital18.8318.84+0.0151
Information & Influence17.9917.72−0.2721
Governance & Integrity15.9816.12+0.1443 → 1
Financial Strength17.0516.72−0.3291
Production & Innovation16.8416.68−0.1591
Trade & Investment19.0518.84−0.2031

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 986, plus 391 carried in. Maintenance 786. Spent 247 on actions (build 197, partner 49). 345 carried over.

  • PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption49 credits for 1.39 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation49 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPopulation Health49 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights49 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls49 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −7.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −7.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.59+0.710.00−0.120.00
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.55+0.750.00−0.200.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.500.000.00−0.500.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.480.000.00−0.480.00
Financial Infrastructure+0.42+0.580.00−0.160.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.400.000.00−0.410.00