Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.183 to 16.81.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.81 (−0.183)
- In: 16.99
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 243
- In: 289
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.76 | 16.36 | −0.397 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.38 | 16.43 | +0.053 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.05 | 13.62 | −0.428 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.95 | 19.02 | +0.065 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.73 | 17.23 | −0.507 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.50 | 16.74 | +0.241 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.75 | 16.34 | −0.412 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.96 | 16.96 | −0.006 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.85 | 18.60 | −0.256 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 974, plus 289 carried in. Maintenance 777. Spent 242 on actions (build 242). 243 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence48 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts
- BuildLabour & Employment48 credits for 2.33 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability48 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption48 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −22.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.95 | +1.15 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.82 | +0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | −0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.78 | +0.01 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.77 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | +0.04 |