Round 4 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 27 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.205 to 16.48.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.48 (+0.205)
In: 16.28
Rank by index
3
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 2
Credits carried
302
In: 233
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.09+0.0022
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.32+0.0052
National Security14.4114.44+0.0343
Human Capital18.1418.44+0.2951
Information & Influence15.9916.95+0.9652 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8415.84+0.0014
Financial Strength16.2216.29+0.0734 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6316.72+0.0871
Trade & Investment16.8817.26+0.3792 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 907, plus 233 carried in. Maintenance 613. Spent 224 on actions (build 135, buy 45, partner 45). 302 carried over.

  • BuildNuclear Deterrence45 credits for 1.32 levelsmctsahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance45 credits for 2.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education45 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity45 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection45 credits for 2.42 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.86+2.830.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.70+1.700.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.42+1.420.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.24+1.240.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.21+1.210.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.68+1.320.000.000.00