Round 5 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 27 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.123 to 16.61.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.61 (+0.123)
In: 16.48
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
340
In: 287
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0916.09+0.0082
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.37+0.0472
National Security14.4414.48+0.0383
Human Capital18.4418.56+0.1181
Information & Influence16.9516.96+0.0101
Governance & Integrity15.8415.85+0.0024
Financial Strength16.2916.30+0.0102
Production & Innovation16.7216.89+0.1711
Trade & Investment17.2617.96+0.7061

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 932, plus 287 carried in. Maintenance 653. Spent 227 on actions (build 91, partner 136). 340 carried over.

  • BuildSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure45 credits for 1.47 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity45 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence45 credits for 2.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication45 credits for 2.12 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade45 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.36+1.350.000.000.00
Digital & Services Trade+1.24+1.240.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.22+1.210.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.14+1.140.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.67+0.670.000.000.00