Round 4 · simulation 46 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 46 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.196 to 16.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.01 (+0.196)
In: 15.81
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
316
In: 232
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8115.80−0.0113
Strategic Infrastructure15.6915.67−0.0192
National Security13.7013.69−0.0103
Human Capital17.8518.39+0.5391
Information & Influence16.0016.66+0.6641
Governance & Integrity15.5115.51−0.0025
Financial Strength15.5615.77+0.2145
Production & Innovation16.1216.10−0.0232
Trade & Investment16.1116.52+0.4093 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 863, plus 232 carried in. Maintenance 566. Spent 212 on actions (build 43, buy 85, partner 85). 316 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance43 credits for 2.75 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance43 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation43 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence43 credits for 2.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education43 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.75+2.750.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.59+1.600.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.36+1.380.000.00−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+1.33+1.350.000.00−0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.26+1.260.000.00−0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.21+1.210.000.000.00