Round 5 · simulation 46 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 46 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.121 to 16.13.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.13 (+0.121)
In: 16.01
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
377
In: 300
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8015.81+0.0113
Strategic Infrastructure15.6715.65−0.0152
National Security13.6913.73+0.0413
Human Capital18.3918.53+0.1431
Information & Influence16.6616.67+0.0091
Governance & Integrity15.5115.51−0.0025
Financial Strength15.7715.88+0.1095 → 1
Production & Innovation16.1016.18+0.0822
Trade & Investment16.5217.23+0.7131

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 891, plus 300 carried in. Maintenance 598. Spent 216 on actions (build 43, partner 173). 377 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Operations43 credits for 1.51 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection43 credits for 2.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity43 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics43 credits for 2.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication43 credits for 2.35 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.37+1.380.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.26+1.260.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.15+1.180.000.00−0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.15+1.190.000.00−0.04
Foundational Education+0.66+0.670.000.00−0.01
Advanced Education+0.65+0.710.000.000.00