Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.007 to 11.76.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.76 (−0.007)
- In: 11.77
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 504
- In: 432
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.18 | 9.21 | +0.028 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.06 | 13.02 | −0.045 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.80 | 8.80 | +0.003 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.22 | 14.31 | +0.086 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.02 | 11.99 | −0.030 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.67 | 11.58 | −0.088 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.06 | 12.97 | −0.090 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.82 | 11.80 | −0.012 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.10 | 12.19 | +0.085 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 441, plus 432 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 65 on actions (build 13, buy 39, partner 13). 504 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education13 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics13 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −21.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.12 | +1.25 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.66 | +0.76 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.02 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.57 | +0.66 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.50 | +0.64 | 0.00 | −0.12 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.42 | +0.55 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.41 | +0.55 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |