Round 10 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index −0.010 to 11.75.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.75 (−0.010)
In: 11.76
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
500
In: 479
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.219.22+0.0186
Strategic Infrastructure13.0213.01−0.0033
National Security8.808.84+0.0375
Human Capital14.3114.28−0.0241
Information & Influence11.9911.88−0.1076
Governance & Integrity11.5811.52−0.05710
Financial Strength12.9712.85−0.1179 → 10
Production & Innovation11.8011.88+0.0716 → 5
Trade & Investment12.1912.28+0.0937

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 392, plus 479 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 66 on actions (build 13, buy 27, partner 27). 500 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education13 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics13 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +3.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.07+1.120.00−0.12+0.07
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.01+1.090.00−0.090.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.96+1.090.00−0.130.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.38+0.500.00−0.13+0.01
Digital & Services Trade−0.240.000.00−0.27+0.03
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.210.000.00−0.22+0.01