Round 12 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.101 to 11.83.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.83 (+0.101)
In: 11.73
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
581
In: 490
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.229.36+0.1335
Strategic Infrastructure13.0013.05+0.0463
National Security8.888.91+0.0355
Human Capital14.2614.32+0.0701
Information & Influence11.7811.91+0.1276 → 5
Governance & Integrity11.4711.49+0.02810
Financial Strength12.7612.84+0.08210 → 9
Production & Innovation11.7711.90+0.1335
Trade & Investment12.4412.70+0.2576

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 456, plus 490 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 61 on actions (buy 24, partner 36). 581 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies12 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.68 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade12 credits for 1.06 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.3 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.09+1.090.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.74+0.680.00+0.01+0.05
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.60+0.560.00+0.040.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.58+0.530.00+0.01+0.04
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.57+0.520.00+0.01+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.55+0.540.00+0.010.00