Round 11 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.021 to 11.73.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.73 (−0.021)
In: 11.75
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
516
In: 475
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.229.22+0.0016 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.0113.00−0.0083
National Security8.848.88+0.0375
Human Capital14.2814.26−0.0271
Information & Influence11.8811.78−0.0986
Governance & Integrity11.5211.47−0.05810
Financial Strength12.8512.76−0.09610
Production & Innovation11.8811.77−0.1045
Trade & Investment12.2812.44+0.1667 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 403, plus 475 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 59 on actions (build 12, buy 12, partner 35). 516 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.04 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence12 credits for 1.04 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education12 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −5.8 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.81+1.040.00−0.27+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.41+0.540.00−0.130.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.41+0.540.00−0.130.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.39+0.520.00−0.130.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.37+0.500.00−0.13−0.01
Advanced Education+0.33+0.450.00−0.14+0.03