Round 2 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.029 to 11.56.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.56 (+0.028)
In: 11.53
Rank by index
31
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
120
In: 57
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.858.850.0006
Strategic Infrastructure13.5713.570.0003
National Security9.339.330.0005
Human Capital11.8912.08+0.1916
Information & Influence11.6311.63−0.0026
Governance & Integrity11.9811.980.0009
Financial Strength12.9112.99+0.08110
Production & Innovation11.6911.69−0.0038
Trade & Investment11.9111.90−0.0108

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 431, plus 57 carried in. Maintenance 302. Spent 65 on actions (build 52, partner 13). 120 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education13 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.52+0.540.000.00−0.02
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.17+0.170.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.030.000.000.00−0.03