Round 3 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 11.60.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.60 (+0.039)
In: 11.56
Rank by index
31
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
183
In: 114
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.858.85−0.0036
Strategic Infrastructure13.5713.56−0.0083
National Security9.339.33−0.0035
Human Capital12.0812.37+0.2896
Information & Influence11.6311.63−0.0016
Governance & Integrity11.9811.980.0009
Financial Strength12.9913.08+0.09010 → 9
Production & Innovation11.6911.68−0.0108
Trade & Investment11.9011.90−0.0088

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 436, plus 114 carried in. Maintenance 303. Spent 65 on actions (build 52, partner 13). 183 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.52 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education13 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.80+0.800.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.74+0.740.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.73+0.730.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.34+0.340.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity−0.020.000.000.00−0.02